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How Much Do Low-skilled Immigrants Contribute to the Thai Economy?: Analysis of Three Methodologies

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This paper uses three methodologies to measure the economic impacts and contribution of low-skilled immigration in Thailand, namely, simulation of a macroeconomic model, a growth accounting method, and an econometric method. Both the macroeconomic simulation model and the growth accounting method confirm that immigrants have contributed around 0.75-1 percentage point of real GDP growth. The sector that benefited most was agriculture, where immigrant workers contributed more than 1.33 percent of the growth rate of agricultural production. Our econometric results also showed that a percentage increase of immigrant share (of the total labor force or M/L) also contributed to a reduction of overall labor productivity in the manufacturing sector (by about 0.88-1percent) and the service sector (by about 1.35 percent). In addition, the calculation of the Allen partial elasticity (AES) confirms that there is a high substitution effect between immigrants and natives, especially in the low-skilled sector. Our simulation shows that employing immigrants in the agricultural sector tends to reduce total employment by 0.67 percent and reduce wage rates by around 4.34 percent from the base case. Thailand needs to consider the short-term and long-term implications of bringing in immigrant labor.

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Ketersediaan

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Informasi Detail

Judul Seri

Asian and Pacific Migration Journal

No. Panggil

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Penerbit

New York : SAGE., 2014

Deskripsi Fisik

Asian and Pacific Migration Journal, Vol. 23, No. 1, 2014

Bahasa

English

ISBN/ISSN

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Klasifikasi

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Tipe Isi

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Tipe Media

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Tipe Pembawa

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Edisi

Vol. 23, No. 1, 2014

Subjek

SOSIOLOGI

Info Detail Spesifik

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Pernyataan Tanggungjawab

agus

Versi lain/terkait

Lampiran Berkas

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