Climate change and habitat fragmentation drive the occurrence of Borrelia burgdorferi, the agent of Lyme disease, at the northeastern limit of its distribution

Pencarian berdasarkan :

SEMUA Pengarang Subjek ISBN/ISSN Pencarian Spesifik

Pencarian terakhir:

e-journal

Climate change and habitat fragmentation drive the occurrence of Borrelia burgdorferi, the agent of Lyme disease, at the northeastern limit of its distribution

Julie A. Simon [etal.] - Nama Orang;

Lyme borreliosis is rapidly emerging in Canada, and climate change is likely a key driver of the northern spread of the disease in North America. We used field and modeling approaches to predict the risk of occurrence of Borrelia burgdorferi, the bacteria causing Lyme disease in North America. We combined climatic and landscape variables to model the current and future (2050) potential distribution of the black-legged tick and the white-footed mouse at the northeastern range limit of Lyme disease and estimated a risk index for B. burgdorferi from these distributions.
The risk index was mostly constrained by the distribution of the white-footed mouse, driven by winter climatic conditions. The next factor contributing to the risk index was the distribution of the black-legged tick, estimated
from the temperature. Landscape variables such as forest habitat and connectivity contributed little to the risk index. We predict a further northern expansion of B. burgdorferi of approximately 250–500 km by 2050 – a rate of 3.5–11 km per
year – and identify areas of rapid rise in the risk of occurrence of B. burgdorferi. Our results will improve understanding of the spread of Lyme disease and inform management strategies at the most northern limit of its distribution.

Keywords
climate change, emergence, habitat fragmentation, Lyme disease, range shift,white-footed mouse

Ketersediaan

Tidak ada salinan data

Informasi Detail

Judul Seri: Evolutionary Applications
No. Panggil: -
Penerbit: : The Authors., 2014
Deskripsi Fisik: Evolutionary Applications 7 (2014) 750–764
Bahasa: English
ISBN/ISSN: doi:10.1111/eva.1216
Klasifikasi: -
Tipe Isi: -
Tipe Media: -
Tipe Pembawa: -
Edisi: -
Subjek: Agriculture
Info Detail Spesifik: -
Pernyataan Tanggungjawab: Wati/Agus

Versi lain/terkait

Tidak tersedia versi lain

Lampiran Berkas

FULL TEXT:Climate change and habitat fragmentation drive the occurrence of Borrelia burgdorferi, the agent of Lyme disease, at the northeastern limit of its distribution

Komentar

Anda harus masuk sebelum memberikan komentar